[1]聂增民,陈立文.施工项目技术整合风险识别与评价研究[J].西安建筑科技大学学报(社会科学版),2020,39(05):63-69.[doi:10.15986/j.1008-7192.2020.05.009 ]
 NIE Zeng-min,CHEN Li-wen.A Research on the Risk Identification and Evaluation of Technical Integration of Construction Projects[J].Journal of Xi'an University of Architecture & Technology(Social Science Edition),2020,39(05):63-69.[doi:10.15986/j.1008-7192.2020.05.009 ]
点击复制

施工项目技术整合风险识别与评价研究()
分享到:

西安建筑科技大学学报(社会科学版)[ISSN:1008-7192/CN:61-1330/C]

卷:
39
期数:
2020年05期
页码:
63-69
栏目:
经济与管理
出版日期:
2020-10-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
A Research on the Risk Identification and Evaluation of Technical Integration of Construction Projects
文章编号:
1008-7192( 2020)05-0063-07
作者:
聂增民12陈立文2
(1. 上饶师范学院 科研处,江西 上饶 334001; 2. 河北工业大学 经济管理学院,河北 天津 300401)
Author(s):
NIE Zeng-min12CHEN Li-wen2
(1.Office of Academic Reseanch, Shangrao Normal University, Shangrao 334001, China; 2. School of Economics and Management, Hebei University of Technology, Tianjin 300401, China)
关键词:
施工项目 技术整合风险 识别与评价
Keywords:
construction project technology integration risk identification and evaluation.
分类号:
F273.1
DOI:
10.15986/j.1008-7192.2020.05.009
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
施工项目技术整合风险是施工项目组织(项目经理部)为了实现工程项目目标而开展施工项目技术整合活动存在的不确定性和可能发生的危险。结合施工项目技术整合风险管理调查,构建了施工项目技术整合风险因素“递阶层次模型”; 运用层次分析法(AHP)识别和归集了施工项目技术整合风险因素及其权重,并进一步判定了施工企业技术整合风险管理水平。其中进度风险(U1)和成本风险(U4)指标所占比重较高,这与施工进度和成本费用指标是施工项目技术整合管理的核心内容相吻合,而成本风险中作业延期风险(U43)所占比重17.58%,为最大风险,与整个项目管理相吻合。进一步探讨了施工项目技术整合风险的应对措施及需要注意的前沿性问题。
Abstract:
The technical integration risk in construction project refers to the uncertainty and possible danger existing in the technical integration activities of construction project which are carried out by the construction project organization(the project management department)to achieve the project objectives. Based on the investigation of technical integration risk management of construction projects, this paper establishes a hierarchical model of risk factors. It identifies and collects the risk factors and their weights by using analytic hierarchy process(AHP)and further determines the risk management level of technical integration of construction enterprises. It is found that the indicators of schedule risk(U1)and cost risk(U4)account for a high proportion, which is consistent with the fact that the indicators of construction schedule and cost are the core contents of technical integration management of construction projects, while the risk of job delay(U43)accounts for 17.58% of the cost risk, which is the biggest risk, and is consistent with the whole project management.This paper further discusses the countermeasures to deal with the technical integration risks of construction projects and the frontier issues that require attention.

参考文献/References:

[1]陈勇强,顾伟. 工程项目风险管理研究综述[J].科技进步与对策,2012,29(18):157-160.
[2]丁士昭.工程项目管理[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2017.
[3]陈伟珂.工程项目风险管理[M].北京:人民交通出版社,2008.
[4]克里斯?查普曼. 项目风险管理的过程、技术和洞察力[M].李兆玉,等译.北京:电子工业出版社,2003.
[5]EMRAH A, YASEMIN G. Prediction of risk perception by owners'psychological traits in small building contractors[J]. Construction Management and Economics, 2011, 29(8):841-852.
[6]WANG J. YUAN H. Factors affecting contractors'risk attitudes in construction projects: case study from China[J].International Journal of Project Management, 2011,29(2):209-219.
[7]SAKKA Z I, EL-SAYEGH, S M. Float consumption impact on cost and schedule in the construction industry[J]. Journal of Engineering and Management, 2007, 133(2):124-130.
[8]吴超,王秉.近年安全科学研究动态及理论进展[J].安全与环境学报,2018(2):588-594.
[9]严复海,党星,颜文虎. 风险管理发展历程和趋势综述[J].管理现代化,2007(2):30-33.
[10]POH Y P, TAH J H M. Integrated duration-cost influence network for modeling risk impacts on construction tasks [J]. Construction Management and Economics, 2006(24):861-868.
[11]MAKARAND H, AURY S. ICRAM-1: Model for international construction risk assessment[J]. Canadian Metallurgical Quarterly,2000,16(1): 59-69.
[12]SANGYOUB L, DANIEL W. HALPIN. Predictive tool for estimating accident risk[J]. Canadian Metallurgical Quarterly, 2003, 129(4): 431-436
[13]EISENHARDT,K M,MARTIN J A. Dynamic capabilities:what are they? [J].Strategic Management Journal,2000,21(11):1105-1121.
[14]戴建平,骆温平. 组织间学习与供应链价值创造研究——基于物流企业与供应链上下游客户多边合作视角[J]. 技术经济与管理研究,2017(8):48-52.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2020-01-16
作者简介:聂增民(1965-),男,河北工业大学经济管理学院博士研究生,法学博士,高级经济师,研究方向为项目管理理论与实践; 陈立文(1964-)男,河北工业大学经济管理学院教授,博士,博士生导师,研究方向为项目管理与风险控制、技术经济与投资决策、金融工程与风险管理。E-mail: 295389037@qq.com
更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01